Bs'dcluny schreef:
Gv'd
8 miljoen al geredde levens?
Graag de berekening van dit getal.
Een vakman zegt: A preliminary analysis by Halperin and Malcolm Potts, MD, PhD, Bixby Professor of Population and Family Planning at the UC Berkeley School of Public Health, estimates that the practice of male circumcision has so far prevented at least 8 million HIV infections in the 15 African and Asian countries cited in the editorial review alone.
http://pub.ucsf.edu/newsservices/releases/2004010610/
Dus dat zijn 8.000.000 geredde levens, en die getallen zijn van 7 jaar geleden, en voor slechts 15 landen.
Hier extra info. Link was te lang voor de pagina, ingepakt.
Adult circumcision
A more controversial question is whether it is justified and feasible to promote and offer adult circumcision for HIV prevention in the most affected countries. In 2000, Malcolm Potts offered a rough (conservative) estimate that circumcision had prevented perhaps 8 million infections in Africa and Asia, which makes a compelling case. Whether his estimated numbers are accurate or not, the logic is sound. If the protective effect indicated in meta-analysis is valid, then every 15 to 60 circumcisions could prevent one case of HIV infection (Quinn, 2006). “How many HIV infections have been prevented by
male circumcision? HIV…in (circumcising) west Africa clusters between 1% and 5%. In comparison, the predominately non-circumcising east and southern African nations have rates approaching 25%. Let us assume…male circumcision accounts for about half the disparity in heterosexual HIV rates…It can be estimated that if male circumcision had not been a widespread practice, HIV frequency would have reached at least 10% in.…..west African countries. This estimate suggests that about 6 million additional adults would now be infected in the region. A similarly conservative estimate of the
impact in the four south and southeast Asian countries with a high male circumcision rate would be that … an additional 2 million adults would now be infected in these four Asian countries. Hence, it is possible that 8 million or more adult HIV infections have been prevented by male circumcision in 15 African and Asian countries.” (M.Potts, Lancet 2000; 355:926)
Eliyahu
